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From numbers to reality: Italian demography and its results
Raffaele Buscemi
There’s a fine line between numbers and reality, and today that line is becoming a fracture. In Italy, there are few births, many elderly people, and the future has already knocked at the door: in three years, we will be a million people less, and in seven years INPS predicts we will have issues with pension payment. Demography is not a theory: it represents a quiet change in living.
The demographic pyramid has capsized: for every 100 young people, there are already 200 elderly people, and in 2050, there will be over 300. Young people are decreasing, cradles are staying empty, while public spending is more and more focused on pensions and healthcare. Meanwhile, young people remain at home, schools are empty, and social services struggle.
It’s not just a crisis of numbers; it’s an imbalance that impacts work, school, families, and social cohesion. With no generational change, Italy risks a slow but unavoidable decline: less active citizens, less innovations, less future.
So what can we do?
We need to stop chasing emergencies and, instead, build a vision. We need well-structured policies, concrete services, a culture that makes parenthood possible, and not a luxury. Birthrate is not an individual dream, but a collective choice.
Raffaele Buscemi, born in Palermo in 1986, is a professional journalist who has worked as a reporter for various local, national, and online news outlets. Since 2017, he has served as Director of Communications for Opus Dei in Italy.
Since 2011, he has been an adjunct professor of Media Training and Institutional Communication on Social Networks at the School of Communication of the Pontifical University of the Holy Cross.
Since 2013, he has also written on demographic issues for the website www.documentazione.info, and was among the first to raise the alarm about Italy’s demographic decline, often referred to as the “demographic winter.”
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